The International Maritime Organisation (IMO) has ruled that from 1 January 2020, marine sector emissions in international waters be slashed. The marine sector will have to reduce sulphur emissions by over 80% by switching to lower sulphur fuels. The current maximum fuel oil sulphur limit of 3.5 weight percent (wt%) will fall to 0.5 wt%. IMO 2020 regulations will see the largest reduction in the sulphur content of a transportation fuel undertaken at one time.
The marine sector, which consumed around 3.8 million barrels per day of fuel oil, is responsible for half of global fuel oil demand. IMO sulphur regulations therefore have the potential to be highly disruptive to the pricing and availability of compliant fuels.
The costs of ocean going freight will increase as the marine sector uses more costly fuels, which has wide reaching consequences across the global economy. The impact could be felt from mid-2019 onwards and last for a few years, as the refining and shipping sectors adapt.
Growing demand for middle distillates could result in upward price pressure on fuels such as diesel and jet fuel. Knock-on effects from the upcoming cap on sulphur emissions in marine bunker fuel could even wind up giving you a more expensive plane ticket in 2020. Get detailed analysis for your industry and sector below.